7/26It could encourage the49%of the country that isRSto follow through on its many threats to secede.That would prompt the secession of theHDZ-dominated parts of theFederation,leaving1or2non-viable,rumpIslamic states in centralBosnia.Avoiding this scenario was a major reason forNATOintervention inBo
7/28future 🇧🇦 elxns/constitutional reform initiatives must: reflect all ECHR/BiH Const Crt decisions; occur exclusively w/in 🇧🇦 state institutions; involve all parliamentary actors; bring 🇧🇦 closer to Euro-Atlantic democratic standards; be certified via a 🇧🇦-wide referendum./
7/25 The nxt two days may be the most consequential in Bosnia's post-war history. I've written extensively about what I've called the @OHR_BiH's blood quantum elxn law but I want to really spell it out for a non-specialist audience; what's going & why it's so dangerous. [LONG 🧵!]
4/27 Croatia’s parliament “must not ratify anyone’s accession to NATO”until this law has changed, Milanović told the press. Finland and Sweden’s NATO accession can be discussed, but it is “a very dangerous adventure,” the president also said,〜It’s “dangerous charlatanry”, he a
7/25 Tomorrow’s protest in Sarajevo against the @OHR_BiH’s imposition of a blood quantum elxn law, organized by Romani community leader Dervo Sejdić & the multiethnic SPD & DF et al, has been moved to 19:00 CET, to facilitate greater turnout. Hajmo ljudi.
7/23 /With @OHR_BiH’s 3% ‘cattle quota’ (for lack of a better term), BiH’ EU Membership bid is thrown off the cliff. Persons who choose not to identify themselves as a specific ethnic type, Bosnian Jews, just Bosnian and like will never be able to run for public office./
7/23 Just had a lengthy talk w/ senior Quint official from an EU capital. They’re categorically opposed to @OHR_BiH’s impending elxn law & won’t budge. They’ve warned Schmidt he’s risking fracturing the Atlantic consensus on BiH at a time when a united front vs. Russia is imperative./
7/23 No other country in Europe is expected to take such systematic attacks on its aspirations for a functioning democracy. The fact that 🇧🇦 is a majority Muslim country is not a coincidence. (To be clear: if 🇧🇦 was anywhere else on the map, it wouldn’t even exist today)./
7/21 /After several months of significant, security-focused progress in Bosnia in dealing w/ the HDZ's secessionist partners in the SNSD, the @OHR_BiH is on the cusp of fomenting an, arguably, even more existential political crisis - while Ukraine still burns. Astounding lack of sense./
7/5 In 6 days, EU & international officials will commemorate the anniversary of the Srebrenica Genocide w/ “Never Again” posts. But they’ll say nothing about ongoing attacks on returnees in eastern Bosnia or daily anti-Bosniak hate speech from EU capitals like Zagreb & Budapest.
1991.9.1 Serbia is routinely -- and, to an outsider, somewhat comically -- depicted as under siege from conspiratorial enemies abroad, ranging from the Central Intelligence Agency, to Germany and Austria, to the Vatican, the Masons and Comintern.